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Patterns, trends, and future projections in Pacific coral reef carbonate budgets

Diver pictured above a coral reef. Corals are in the foreground with colorful fish just behind and above it.
An underwater view of the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary. Credit: NOAA

Why we care
Coral reefs are valuable because they support a huge amount of marine life and provide essential cultural and environmental services. The infrastructure, or “bones,” of the reef are calcium carbonate and built by corals and coralline algae. For a reef to stay healthy and grow, it must create this mineral building block faster than it is lost through natural processes like storms or being consumed by fish, urchins and other coral predators. Scientists use a “carbonate budget”—comparing how much material is being made versus how much is being lost—to measure a reef’s overall health and its ability to provide habitat. Stressors such as ocean acidification and warming are making it harder for corals to grow and easier for the reef structure to break down. To protect these habitats, local managers need specific information on current reef conditions, future trends, and tools to help them choose the best conservation strategies. This project will develop decision-support tools to improve understanding of ocean acidification impacts and evaluate the efficacy of potential management responses in the U.S. Pacific Islands.

What we will do
In collaboration with the NOAA Coral Reef Conservation Program, the team will synthesize long-term coral reef environmental and ecological monitoring data into census-based carbonate budget assessments. Researchers will then describe spatial patterns, temporal trends, and drivers of coral reef carbonate production and erosion rates. Linking carbonate budgets with environmental data collected at the same sites over time allows the team to determine how the production and erosion of coral reef carbonate are correlated with ocean acidification parameters and vary across sites due to climate, oceanographic, human-induced, and/or ecological factors.

The team will use carbonate production rates, estimated using a state-of-the-art method called Structure-from-Motion. This method takes imagery of coral reefs at a site and recreates a 3-D representation of the reef. It is like taking pictures of a sand castle on a beach and then matching images based on common features like the drawbridge or tower to recreate the 3-D structure of the sand castle. Comparing the amount of carbonate at a site over time will provide the rate of growth or erosion.

From this work, the team will also develop a prototype version of a management strategy evaluation tool to forecast Pacific coral reef persistence under potential environmental and management scenarios.

Benefits of our work
This project fills critical knowledge gaps in understanding the key risks associated with ocean change and ocean acidification on U.S. Pacific Islands coral reef ecosystems. It also translates this information into accessible and actionable approaches for resilience-based ecosystem management. The major outcomes of this work are:

  1. Construct carbonate budget time series at priority long-term monitoring sites across the U.S. Pacific Islands.
  2. Attribute spatial and temporal patterns in carbonate production and erosion rates across the U.S. Pacific Islands to carbonate chemistry, temperature, and other environmental or ecological drivers.
  3. Develop a prototype decision-support tool for Oʻahu, Hawaiʻi that forecasts reef persistence under climate and management scenarios.

Investigators
Hannah Barkley, NOAA Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center (PIFSC)
Ian Enochs, NOAA Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML)
John Morris, AOML/Cooperative Institute For Marine And Atmospheric Studies (CIMAS)
Jessica Perelman, AOML/Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research (CIMAR)
Brian Powell, University of Hawai’i SOEST
Joy Smith, PISFSC/Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research (CIMAR)

Effects of ocean acidification and temperature on Alaskan crabs

Red King Crab
Image credit: David Csepp, NMFS AKFSC ABL

Long-term declines of red king crab in Bristol Bay, Alaska may be partially attributed to ocean acidification conditions. These impacts may be partially responsible for the fishery closures during the 2021–2022 and 2022–2023 seasons. Researchers found that ocean acidification negatively impacts Alaskan crabs generally by changing physiological processes, decreasing growth, increasing death rates and reducing shell thickness. Funded by the Ocean Acidification Program, scientists at the Alaska Fisheries Science Center continue to investigate the responses of early life history stages and study the potential of various Alaska crabs to acclimate to changing conditions. Results will inform models that will use the parameters studied to predict the effects of future ocean acidification on the populations of red king crab in Bristol Bay as well as on the fisheries that depend on them. Fishery managers will better be able to anticipate and manage stocks if changing ocean chemistry affects stock productivity and thus the maximum sustainable yield.

More about this work

Forecasts for Alaska Fisheries

Crab pots and fishing nets in Alaska's Dutch Harbor
Image credit: Michael Theberge

Understanding seasonal changes in ocean acidification in Alaskan waters and the potential impacts to the multi-billion-dollar fishery sector is a main priority. Through work funded by NOAA’s Ocean Acidification Program, the Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory developed a model capable of depicting past ocean chemistry conditions for the Bering Sea and is now testing the ability of this model to forecast future conditions. This model is being used to develop an ocean acidification indicator provided to fisheries managers in the annual NOAA Eastern Bering Sea Ecosystem Status Report.

ADAPTING TO OCEAN ACIDIFICATION

The NOAA Ocean Acidification Program (OAP) works to prepare society to adapt to the consequences of ocean acidification and conserve marine ecosystems as acidification occurs. Learn more about the human connections and adaptation strategies from these efforts.

Adaptation approaches fostered by the OAP include:

FORECASTING

Using models and research to understand the sensitivity of organisms and ecosystems to ocean acidification to make predictions about the future, allowing communities and industries to prepare

Closeup of oysters cupped in someone's hands

MANAGEMENT

Using these models and predictions as tools to facilitate management strategies that will protect marine resources and communities from future changes

TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT

Developing innovative tools to help monitor ocean acidification and mitigate changing ocean chemistry locally

REDUCING OUR CARBON FOOTPRINT

On the Road

Drive fuel-efficient vehicles or choose public transportation. Choose your bike or walk! Don't sit idle for more than 30 seconds. Keep your tires properly inflated.

With your Food Choices

Eat local- this helps cut down on production and transport! Reduce your meat and dairy. Compost to avoid food waste ending up in the landfill

With your Food Choices

Make energy-efficient choices for your appliances and lighting. Heat and cool efficiently! Change your air filters and program your thermostat, seal and insulate your home, and support clean energy sources

By Reducing Coastal Acidification

Reduce your use of fertilizers, Improve sewage treatment and run off, and Protect and restore coastal habitats

TAKE ACTION WITH YOUR COMMUNITY

You've taken the first step to learn more about ocean acidification - why not spread this knowledge to your community?

Every community has their unique culture, economy and ecology and what’s at stake from ocean acidification may be different depending on where you live.  As a community member, you can take a larger role in educating the public about ocean acidification. Creating awareness is the first step to taking action.  As communities gain traction, neighboring regions that share marine resources can build larger coalitions to address ocean acidification.  Here are some ideas to get started:

  1. Work with informal educators, such as aquarium outreach programs and local non-profits, to teach the public about ocean acidification. Visit our Education & Outreach page to find the newest tools!
  2. Participate in habitat restoration efforts to restore habitats that help mitigate the effects of coastal acidification
  3. Facilitate conversations with local businesses that might be affected by ocean acidification, building a plan for the future.
  4. Partner with local community efforts to mitigate the driver behind ocean acidification  – excess CO2 – such as community supported agriculture, bike & car shares and other public transportation options.
  5. Contact your regional Coastal Acidification Network (CAN) to learn how OA is affecting your region and more ideas about how you can get involved in your community
       More for Taking Community Action