NOAA PMEL Sustained Seasonal Forecasts of Ocean Acidification Variability in Washington and Oregon Waters (PFS)
Why we care
Acidification of coastal waters is of increasing concern to local fisheries in the Pacific Northwest. The ability to predict the degree of acidification as well as relevant indices of impact for species of interest could provide considerable benefits to fishery managers.
What we are doing
Researchers continue to develop an existing system used to provide seasonal (six month) predictions of ocean conditions that are relevant to management decisions for fisheries, protected species and ecosystem health components. The project will first forecast biological indicators to predict risk to the larval stages of Dungeness crabs, and work with interested parties in the region to evaluate the utility of these forecasts in their decision making process. Also forecasted will be “crabitat”—adult crab distributions by season. This work will further improve forecast presence on the Northwest Association of Networked Ocean Observing Systems (NANOOS) site. This project works to understand model predictive skill in the region and whether or not our observations are well situated in key zones.
Benefits of our work
Through small targeted stakeholder workshops this project engages direct participation of state and tribal managers of the most valuable fishery on the U.S. West Coast, valued at over $100 million annually. The ability to predict the degree of acidification as well as relevant indices of impact to species of ecological and economic interest could benefit fishery managers as well as protect jobs in the seafood industry.
Investigators
Samantha Siedlecki – University of Connecticut
Simone Alin – NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (PMEL)